After 10,000 Giants-Cowboys Thanksgiving simulations, a surprise player prop stands out as the best bet

Update: Learn how Ceedee Lamb’s injury update impacts NFL betting odds and projected stats for this Thanksgiving Day NFC East showdown.
The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys face off in a highly anticipated Thanksgiving matchup, with both teams bringing unique challenges to the table. The Cowboys, led by backup quarterback Cooper Rush after Dak Prescott’s season-ending injury, are aiming to keep their playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Giants, under recently-elevated Tommy DeVito, are looking to salvage some pride after a tough 2-9 start.
DeVito, thrust into the starting role after the surprise cutting of Daniel Jones, has shown flashes of potential, particularly in his most recent outing. Against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, DeVito completed 21 of 31 passes for 189 yards, with six of those passes finding rookie Malik Nabers, providing a glimmer of hope for New York’s struggling offense.
To find the best bet, the team at Dimers ran 10,000 simulations of this Giants-Cowboys game, identifying Tommy DeVito’s passing yard line as the standout value play—details revealed below.